An Andalis vs El Ronquillo CF analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

23.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%

22%

Draw

0-0

4.2%

1-1

10%

2-2

5.9%

3-3

1.6%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

22%

54.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

An Andalis

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
06 Oct. 2013	CAZ 7 - 0 ANA 46% 23% 31%	16	18	2	0
29 Sep. 2013	GUA 6 - 0 ANA 51% 22% 28%	17	18	1	-1
22 Sep. 2013	ANA 1 - 1 ALC 74% 16% 11%	17	11	6	0
20 May. 2012	ELT 1 - 3 ANA 44% 23% 33%	16	16	0	+1
06 May. 2012	JDB 0 - 1 ANA 77% 13% 9%	14	20	6	+2

Matches

El Ronquillo CF

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 May. 2012	ELR 5 - 1 ATL 24% 22% 54%	18	24	6	0
13 May. 2012	CAS 1 - 4 ELR 17% 21% 62%	17	11	6	+1
06 May. 2012	ELR 6 - 0 GUA 79% 13% 8%	17	7	10	0
22 Apr. 2012	CAM 4 - 1 ELR 37% 24% 40%	18	16	2	-1
15 Apr. 2012	ELR 2 - 0 CEL 64% 20% 17%	18	15	3	0