FC Amsterdam vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 1
AMS
72%
16%
13%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AMS
3 - 2
BOS
72%
17%
10%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
TWE
2 - 1
AMS
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
AMS
1 - 2
AJA
27%
22%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
TEL
2 - 1
AMS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 1
HFC
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 3
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |