Amsterdamsche FC vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
64.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amsterdamsche FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
AFC
2 - 1
DWV
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
DCV
1 - 0
AFC
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
ELI
2 - 1
AFC
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VUC
2 - 3
AFC
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 2
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
BOS
1 - 1
FCE
64%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
BOS
1 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
HEL
0 - 1
BOS
33%
26%
42%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ZWO
4 - 1
BOS
41%
26%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
BOS
4 - 2
BVO
65%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |