Oberliga Bayern Nord. Jor. 12

Ammerthal vs DJK Gebenbach analysis

Ammerthal DJK Gebenbach
37 ELO 32
10.4% Tilt 8.1%
6670º General ELO ranking 7100º
262º Country ELO ranking 284º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Ammerthal
19.9%
Draw
23.3%
DJK Gebenbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Ammerthal
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
23.3%
Win probability
DJK Gebenbach
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ammerthal
-26%
+20%
DJK Gebenbach

Points and table prediction

Ammerthal
Their league position
DJK Gebenbach
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
14º
49
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Hankofen-Hailing
68
71
74%
Eltersdorf
67
70
49.5%
Eichstätt
65
68
63.5%
Bayern Hof
57
60
37.5%
TSV Abtswind
56
59
30.5%
Ingolstadt 04 II
57
58
28%
ASV Cham
54
55
33%
Ammerthal
11º
51
54
23%
ASV Neumarkt
10º
52
53
4%
Neudrossenfeld
53
53
10º
29%
Jahn Regensburg II
52
52
11º
44%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
51
52
12º
35%
DJK Gebenbach
13º
49
50
13º
49%
TSV Kornburg
14º
48
49
14º
42.5%
Fortuna Regensburg
15º
45
45
15º
91.5%
FC Coburg
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Würzburger FV
17º
27
27
17º
100%
SV Donaustauf
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Feucht SC
19º
16
16
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Ammerthal
DJK Gebenbach
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 63.5%
Relegation play-offs
0% 36.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Ammerthal
DJK Gebenbach
ASV Neumarkt
Feucht SC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ammerthal
Ammerthal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Sep. 2023
EIC
Eichstätt
1 - 0
Ammerthal
AMM
54%
22%
24%
36 41 5 0
05 Sep. 2023
AMM
Ammerthal
3 - 1
Ingolstadt 04 II
ING
39%
22%
40%
34 37 3 +2
01 Sep. 2023
KOR
TSV Kornburg
2 - 2
Ammerthal
AMM
22%
21%
56%
34 26 8 0
25 Aug. 2023
AMM
Ammerthal
1 - 1
ASV Cham
ASV
35%
22%
43%
33 39 6 +1
19 Aug. 2023
AMM
Ammerthal
3 - 3
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
58%
20%
23%
33 30 3 0

Matches

DJK Gebenbach
DJK Gebenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
1 - 4
Eltersdorf
ELT
28%
23%
49%
35 42 7 0
05 Sep. 2023
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
2 - 1
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
24%
21%
55%
35 26 9 0
02 Sep. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
3 - 2
Würzburger FV
WUR
75%
14%
10%
35 26 9 0
26 Aug. 2023
HAH
Hankofen-Hailing
2 - 0
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
37%
23%
41%
36 33 3 -1
18 Aug. 2023
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
3 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
79%
13%
8%
35 23 12 +1
X