FAW Championship Sur. Jor. 16

Ammanford AFC vs Trefelin analysis

Ammanford AFC Trefelin
36 ELO 26
2.4% Tilt -12%
5721º General ELO ranking 7839º
30º Country ELO ranking 44º
ELO win probability
70.1%
Ammanford AFC
15.8%
Draw
14.1%
Trefelin

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
Ammanford AFC
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.1%
Win probability
Trefelin
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ammanford AFC
+22%
+9%
Trefelin

ELO progression

Ammanford AFC
Trefelin
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ammanford AFC
Ammanford AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2023
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 2
Baglan Dragons
BDG
80%
12%
8%
37 20 17 0
17 Nov. 2023
AAF
Ammanford AFC
4 - 3
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
42%
22%
36%
35 36 1 +2
11 Nov. 2023
HAV
Haverfordwest County
2 - 0
Ammanford AFC
AAF
81%
13%
6%
36 59 23 -1
21 Oct. 2023
LLA
Llantwit Major
0 - 0
Ammanford AFC
AAF
42%
24%
34%
36 33 3 0
13 Oct. 2023
TRE
Trefelin
2 - 2
Ammanford AFC
AAF
32%
22%
47%
36 27 9 0

Matches

Trefelin
Trefelin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2023
BDG
Baglan Dragons
4 - 1
Trefelin
TRE
19%
19%
63%
27 17 10 0
17 Nov. 2023
CAE
Caerau Ely
2 - 0
Trefelin
TRE
53%
20%
28%
29 30 1 -2
03 Nov. 2023
TRE
Trefelin
6 - 1
Abertillery Bluebirds
ABB
78%
13%
9%
28 17 11 +1
21 Oct. 2023
TRE
Trefelin
1 - 1
Taffs Well
TAF
35%
21%
44%
28 34 6 0
13 Oct. 2023
TRE
Trefelin
2 - 2
Ammanford AFC
AAF
32%
22%
47%
27 36 9 +1
X