French League U19 Group A Round 1

Amiens SC U19 vs Montfermeil U19 analysis

Amiens SC U19 Montfermeil U19
40 ELO 30
0.3% Tilt -1.9%
6646º General ELO ranking 8266º
199º Country ELO ranking 277º
ELO win probability
65.9%
Amiens SC U19
17.7%
Draw
16.3%
Montfermeil U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
Amiens SC U19
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.3%
Win probability
Montfermeil U19
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Amiens SC U19
Their league position
Montfermeil U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
35
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Caen U19
60
63
100%
PSG U19
55
55
100%
Amiens SC U19
47
47
100%
Lille U19
35
38
25.5%
RC France U19
37
38
15%
Quevilly U19
37
37
52%
USL Dunkerque U19
35
36
23%
Orléans U19
35
35
49%
Montfermeil U19
35
35
45%
Valenciennes U19
10º
34
34
10º
46.5%
Le Havre U19
11º
32
32
11º
88.5%
Lens U19
12º
29
30
12º
100%
Chambly U19
13º
18
19
13º
100%
Olympique Marcq U19
14º
16
16
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Amiens SC U19
Montfermeil U19
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Amiens SC U19
Montfermeil U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Amiens SC U19
Amiens SC U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2024
LIL
Lille U19
3 - 1
Amiens SC U19
AMI
49%
24%
27%
40 42 2 0
28 Apr. 2024
AMI
Amiens SC U19
1 - 0
Caen U19
CAE
64%
19%
17%
40 34 6 0
14 Apr. 2024
VAL
Valenciennes U19
2 - 1
Amiens SC U19
AMI
32%
23%
45%
40 35 5 0
07 Apr. 2024
AMI
Amiens SC U19
2 - 0
USL Dunkerque U19
DKQ
67%
17%
16%
40 31 9 0
24 Mar. 2024
PSG
PSG U19
1 - 1
Amiens SC U19
AMI
68%
17%
15%
39 44 5 +1

Matches

Montfermeil U19
Montfermeil U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2024
MON
Montfermeil U19
0 - 3
Stade de Reims U19
REI
49%
21%
30%
33 28 5 0
28 Apr. 2024
HAV
Le Havre U19
3 - 2
Montfermeil U19
MON
51%
22%
28%
34 34 0 -1
14 Apr. 2024
MON
Montfermeil U19
1 - 0
Montrouge U19
MFC
78%
14%
8%
33 16 17 +1
07 Apr. 2024
QUE
Quevilly U19
1 - 3
Montfermeil U19
MON
18%
19%
63%
33 15 18 0
24 Mar. 2024
MON
Montfermeil U19
4 - 1
Chambly U19
CHA
62%
20%
18%
32 25 7 +1