Américo Tesorieri vs Unión Villa Krause analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Américo Tesorieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AMT
0 - 1
CSE
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
AMT
1 - 2
GIM
13%
22%
65%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SLO
1 - 0
AMT
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AMT
0 - 0
JUU
12%
20%
68%
|
18 | 58 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AND
1 - 1
AMT
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Unión Villa Krause
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GIM
1 - 2
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
SLO
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
JUU
3 - 2
UNI
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
AND
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 1
UNI
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |