Americano vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
AME
2 - 2
QUI
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
AME
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
5 - 0
AME
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
AME
1 - 6
BAC
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
JOS
0 - 0
AME
48%
23%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
CAB
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 3
POR
26%
26%
49%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 8
AME
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -3 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
SER
1 - 1
SAO
32%
24%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |