Americano vs Friburguense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
AME
3 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
BOT
11%
19%
70%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
AME
3 - 2
DUQ
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
BAN
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
23%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
VOL
40%
25%
34%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Friburguense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
FRI
1 - 2
OLA
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FLU
5 - 1
FRI
83%
13%
5%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MAC
0 - 1
FRI
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
FRI
1 - 2
AME
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | -1 |