Copa Libertadores qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 4-2
América vs Atlas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
PUM
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
AME
4 - 1
PUE
67%
20%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
NEC
1 - 0
AME
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
AME
1 - 2
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ATS
1 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
ATS
1 - 1
NEC
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
ATS
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ATS
2 - 0
TOL
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
4 - 1
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |