América vs Indios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 0
AME
51%
25%
25%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
5 - 1
SNL
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
MON
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
MON
1 - 0
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Indios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
IND
0 - 0
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MON
4 - 0
IND
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
IND
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
JAG
37%
28%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
IND
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |