América vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
21.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2016 |
AME
0 - 2
RMA
12%
17%
72%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
JEO
1 - 2
AME
28%
23%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
NEC
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 1
AME
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 3
KAA
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 4
SFE
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 0
MIL
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |