América Sub 15 vs Toluca Sub 15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 1
AME
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AME
1 - 4
PUN
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
LBU
91%
7%
2%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
VRC
2 - 3
AME
18%
22%
60%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
AME
2 - 0
PBL
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 18 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca Sub 15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
TOL
6 - 0
LBU
90%
8%
2%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
VRC
1 - 1
TOL
25%
22%
54%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
PBL
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
TOL
0 - 2
TJN
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TOL
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |