América RN vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
ARN
3 - 1
PAL
84%
11%
5%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
POT
0 - 6
ARN
20%
24%
57%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 0
GLO
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 1
ARN
85%
12%
4%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 2
BAH
12%
22%
67%
|
53 | 80 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
NAU
3 - 3
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 0
AMF
23%
30%
47%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
JUV
49%
29%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 1
JUV
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 1
CRB
31%
30%
39%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |