América RN vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
AME
1 - 3
ARN
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ARN
1 - 1
BAH
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
ARN
3 - 3
GOI
33%
27%
39%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1975 |
ARN
2 - 1
SPO
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1975 |
ARN
3 - 4
SAO
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
SCI
5 - 0
SER
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
45%
28%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1975 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
69%
21%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
SCI
1 - 1
GRE
50%
28%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1975 |
POR
0 - 2
SCI
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |