América RN vs Icasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ARN
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
0 - 2
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
ARN
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
1 - 0
ASA
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ARN
69%
19%
12%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Icasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
1 - 4
VIL
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
ICA
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 0
IFC
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
COT
3 - 0
ICA
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 0
PPE
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +2 |