América RN vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
BOT
1 - 0
ARN
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
ARN
2 - 2
CAM
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
UBE
2 - 0
ARN
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ABC
1 - 1
ARN
48%
26%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ARN
1 - 1
CRZ
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1978 |
AMF
0 - 2
BOT
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
AMF
1 - 1
USC
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1978 |
AMF
1 - 1
ABC
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
UBE
0 - 1
AMF
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 0
AMF
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |