América RN vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
ARN
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
COR
2 - 1
ARN
30%
26%
45%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
ARN
2 - 1
NAC
71%
19%
10%
|
57 | 32 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ARN
0 - 1
COR
64%
22%
15%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 2
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | -2 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ACA
1 - 2
COR
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
NAC
4 - 1
ACA
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -3 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
COR
3 - 1
ACA
68%
18%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 2
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | -1 |