América RN vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
ARN
2 - 0
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARN
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
PEC
1 - 3
ARN
38%
24%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
ARN
3 - 1
BAR
71%
18%
12%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
ASS
2 - 1
ARN
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
ABC
3 - 3
POT
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2007 |
MEC
1 - 0
ABC
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 34 | 30 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2007 |
ABC
4 - 0
PEC
50%
23%
27%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
25%
23%
52%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
ABC
2 - 1
ALE
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |