América RJ vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
50.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 0
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
POR
0 - 3
AME
25%
23%
52%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
AME
2 - 1
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BOT
3 - 1
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2006 |
AME
1 - 1
CAB
71%
17%
12%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2006 |
FLA
2 - 3
MAD
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
FLA
3 - 2
BOT
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2006 |
ASA
1 - 1
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
FRI
3 - 3
FLA
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
FLA
4 - 2
AME
74%
18%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |