Serie B . Jor. 14

América Quito vs Mushuc Runa analysis

América Quito Mushuc Runa
66 ELO 65
-3% Tilt -9.3%
28961º General ELO ranking 773º
46º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
48.9%
América Quito
27.1%
Draw
24%
Mushuc Runa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
América Quito
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24%
Win probability
Mushuc Runa
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
América Quito
-24%
-14%
Mushuc Runa

ELO progression

América Quito
Mushuc Runa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

América Quito
América Quito
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 May. 2018
LOJ
LDU Loja
0 - 0
América Quito
AME
46%
27%
27%
65 62 3 0
12 May. 2018
AME
América Quito
2 - 0
Santa Rita
SSR
45%
29%
26%
65 68 3 0
05 May. 2018
SSR
Santa Rita
3 - 1
América Quito
AME
53%
27%
20%
66 67 1 -1
28 Apr. 2018
AME
América Quito
3 - 0
LDU Loja
LOJ
49%
27%
24%
65 64 1 +1
26 Apr. 2018
MUS
Mushuc Runa
0 - 1
América Quito
AME
52%
26%
23%
64 66 2 +1

Matches

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2018
SSR
Santa Rita
4 - 2
Mushuc Runa
MUS
50%
27%
23%
66 67 1 0
12 May. 2018
MUS
Mushuc Runa
0 - 2
Fuerza Amarilla
FAM
50%
26%
24%
67 66 1 -1
05 May. 2018
FAM
Fuerza Amarilla
0 - 2
Mushuc Runa
MUS
46%
27%
27%
66 67 1 +1
29 Apr. 2018
MUS
Mushuc Runa
5 - 0
Santa Rita
SSR
46%
29%
25%
65 69 4 +1
26 Apr. 2018
MUS
Mushuc Runa
0 - 1
América Quito
AME
52%
26%
23%
66 64 2 -1
X