América Quito vs Independiente Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
AME
2 - 1
FAM
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 0
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
DEL
2 - 1
AME
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
AME
3 - 0
FAM
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SSR
3 - 0
INJ
52%
27%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
INJ
0 - 1
POR
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
INJ
0 - 0
LDU
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
LDU
2 - 1
INJ
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
INJ
2 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |