América PE vs Serra Talhada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PES
2 - 0
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 1
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
AME
0 - 2
YPI
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
AME
1 - 0
CHA
34%
25%
42%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Serra Talhada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 3
SER
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
CHA
53%
25%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PES
0 - 1
SER
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
YPI
1 - 1
SER
34%
26%
41%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 0
AME
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |