América Mineiro vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ICA
2 - 3
AMF
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
AMF
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
AMF
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 3
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
3 - 1
SAO
37%
26%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
ASA
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
NAU
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ICA
0 - 1
ASA
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
ASA
1 - 2
FFL
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |