Amarante vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PED
2 - 1
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PED
1 - 0
AMA
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GIN
2 - 2
AMA
6%
13%
82%
|
44 | 13 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AMA
2 - 1
SAN
42%
27%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
UNM
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
PED
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MIR
2 - 1
UNM
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |