Amarante vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 2
AMA
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
AMA
2 - 2
GON
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 1
AMA
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GAN
1 - 0
AMA
23%
25%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
AMA
1 - 1
SAN
55%
23%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
TRO
0 - 0
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PED
0 - 0
TRO
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 0
COI
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
TRO
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 1
CAN
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |