Amarante vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
AMA
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
4 - 1
CAN
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 1
AMA
28%
28%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AMA
5 - 0
TMO
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
AMA
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRO
5 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PED
0 - 4
TRO
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TRO
4 - 1
GAN
81%
13%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
FEL
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
TMO
0 - 5
TRO
8%
13%
79%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |