Amarante vs Angrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ANA
1 - 2
AMA
47%
25%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
PAD
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 1
AMA
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
AMA
1 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AMA
6 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Angrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 3
OLI
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
2 - 1
ANG
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ANG
2 - 2
MAD
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ANG
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ANG
0 - 1
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |