Amanecer vs Brocense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAL
2 - 2
AMA
19%
24%
57%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 0
ARR
49%
26%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 1
AMA
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 1
HER
44%
26%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
AMA
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Brocense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 4
ARR
11%
19%
71%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
HER
1 - 0
BRO
81%
13%
6%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 3
COR
8%
15%
77%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CIU
4 - 0
BRO
58%
22%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 0
SAG
14%
20%
65%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |