Amadense vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 1
CDC
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
2 - 0
AMA
43%
25%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
SER
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
AMA
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SOC
1 - 1
AMA
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
OSE
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
EST
69%
18%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 2
EST
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
COR
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
ITA
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |