UD Alzira vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Alzira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 1
ALZ
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ALZ
3 - 0
VIL
49%
25%
26%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ROD
1 - 1
ALZ
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
ATZ
1 - 0
ALZ
42%
25%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
ALZ
3 - 1
SAG
26%
26%
48%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
SIL
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ELD
2 - 1
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 1
JOV
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
CRE
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 0
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |