Alverna vs Joure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SCN
2 - 1
ALV
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 0
LON
58%
21%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALV
2 - 2
RKH
47%
22%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FVC
1 - 3
ALV
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ALV
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Joure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JOU
0 - 4
ROH
16%
22%
62%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
DEB
6 - 2
JOU
83%
12%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HOO
3 - 0
JOU
82%
12%
6%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
JOU
1 - 2
MSC
11%
18%
71%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
QUI
3 - 0
JOU
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |