Alverna vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
ALV
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 3
SWZ
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
USV
3 - 0
ALV
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ROH
4 - 2
ALV
52%
23%
26%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ALV
2 - 0
DEB
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
FVC
2 - 2
ROH
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
DEB
3 - 1
FVC
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
FVC
4 - 1
HOO
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
MSC
6 - 2
FVC
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FVC
0 - 2
QUI
20%
21%
59%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |