FC Alverca vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
UDL
3 - 0
ALV
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ALV
6 - 0
ELE
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ALV
1 - 0
ORI
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
COV
2 - 1
ALV
70%
20%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
ALV
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
BSC
42%
23%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
TIR
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AMA
3 - 3
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PED
0 - 1
VIL
37%
24%
38%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEC
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |