FC Alverca vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SPB
3 - 1
ALV
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ALV
3 - 1
RIO
51%
24%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
BOA
2 - 0
ALV
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ALV
4 - 2
GFC
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
EST
3 - 0
ALV
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
1 - 0
BOA
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
2 - 0
GFC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2000 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPB
80%
14%
6%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
EST
0 - 2
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1999 |
FCP
5 - 0
FAR
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |