Alverca U15 vs Caldas SC U15 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
1º
1º
12
1º
2º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 0 |
5º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alverca U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
0 - 4
ALV
8%
14%
78%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 0
FOO
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALV
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALV
2 - 1
RSC
21%
20%
60%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 3
ALV
10%
15%
75%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas SC U15
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
LOU
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FOO
0 - 1
CAL
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BNF
4 - 1
CAL
91%
7%
2%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 0
CAD
21%
19%
60%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAL
73%
15%
11%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |