Alvechurch FC vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALV
28%
22%
50%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 3
WIG
6%
14%
79%
|
41 | 69 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALV
4 - 2
BIR
11%
20%
69%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
SUT
0 - 2
ALV
19%
25%
56%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
WES
0 - 3
ALV
22%
22%
56%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
COA
0 - 5
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
HED
1 - 0
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GAT
2 - 1
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
BRA
21%
27%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
1 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |