Alvechurch FC vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alvechurch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ALV
4 - 0
PET
67%
17%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
FRI
1 - 2
ALV
56%
20%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
STA
0 - 0
ALV
59%
19%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ALV
1 - 0
COR
63%
18%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
LEE
3 - 3
ALV
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAS
12%
20%
68%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LIN
2 - 0
GRE
62%
20%
18%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
BED
2 - 0
GRE
75%
15%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 2
GRE
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 4
CHA
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -2 |