Aluvión vs CD San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALU
3 - 4
GAR
25%
23%
53%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AOI
3 - 0
ALU
60%
21%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 3
CDC
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 1
ALU
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ALU
0 - 2
INJ
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ERR
1 - 3
CDS
54%
22%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
GAR
27%
22%
50%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
ART
2 - 1
CDS
60%
21%
20%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
AOI
26%
22%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
IDO
2 - 2
CDS
64%
19%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |