Aluvión vs CD Lerinés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
IDO
3 - 0
ALU
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ALU
0 - 6
OBE
20%
23%
57%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ART
2 - 4
ALU
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ALU
1 - 4
CDA
17%
21%
62%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MEN
2 - 0
ALU
73%
16%
11%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
CD Lerinés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDL
56%
22%
22%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CDL
3 - 2
ZAR
50%
22%
28%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
CDL
0 - 0
CDT
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CDO
0 - 2
CDL
67%
18%
15%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 1
CDL
77%
14%
9%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |