Alumni Villa Maria vs CSyB Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+259%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alumni Villa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
RCU
0 - 0
CAA
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CAA
3 - 2
ALP
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
TIR
3 - 1
CAA
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CAA
4 - 2
RAC
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
CAA
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
CSyB Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 3
ALP
16%
19%
65%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TIR
2 - 1
ATE
72%
17%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATE
0 - 1
RAC
17%
20%
63%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
ATE
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ATE
0 - 0
ARG
15%
19%
66%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |