Aluminij vs Triglav Kranj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
KRS
0 - 1
ALU
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ALU
4 - 1
SLJ
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ALU
4 - 0
SEN
60%
21%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SEN
0 - 0
ALU
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ALU
1 - 2
KRS
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
TRI
1 - 0
SEN
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ZAG
0 - 2
TRI
37%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
IVA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
IVA
0 - 1
TRI
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TRI
2 - 2
SEN
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |