Aluminij vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aluminij
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
ALU
1 - 0
KRS
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NSM
3 - 2
ALU
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALU
3 - 0
RUD
40%
25%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
GRA
1 - 2
ALU
8%
16%
76%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
DOM
3 - 1
ALU
63%
21%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
GOR
2 - 2
NSM
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
RUD
0 - 2
GOR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 0
DOM
37%
27%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
NKP
0 - 5
GOR
2%
6%
93%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
5 - 0
GOR
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |