Altstätten vs Mels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altstätten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
FCO
4 - 2
ALT
58%
20%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
4 - 0
CHU
28%
22%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +3 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
FRE
4 - 2
ALT
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
LIN
43%
23%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
FCP
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
WID
8 - 1
MEL
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
0 - 0
FCS
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCO
4 - 1
MEL
51%
21%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 1
CHU
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LIN
3 - 3
MEL
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |