Altrincham vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GLO
1 - 1
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
2 - 2
GUI
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HYD
2 - 1
ALT
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
VAU
2 - 2
ALT
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
3 - 0
HIS
60%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 2
COR
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 1
NUN
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
EAS
0 - 1
WOR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
HIS
1 - 5
WOR
38%
27%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
WOR
1 - 1
HAL
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |