Altrincham vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
DAR
0 - 3
ALT
39%
24%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 2
BOS
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 2
UNM
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SPE
4 - 4
ALT
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 3
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
2 - 1
NUN
34%
23%
43%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LEA
2 - 2
GUI
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
STO
1 - 1
GUI
76%
16%
9%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
1 - 1
AFC
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 2
CHO
18%
23%
59%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |