Altrincham vs Grays Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
GAT
1 - 0
ALT
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
EAS
2 - 2
ALT
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
ALT
3 - 0
EAS
60%
22%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
ALT
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ALT
5 - 0
SAL
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Grays Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 2
SAL
23%
24%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
HAY
4 - 0
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 3
RUS
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
KID
4 - 1
GRA
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
0 - 4
OXF
21%
26%
53%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |