National League North . Jor. 31

Altrincham vs Colwyn Bay analysis

Altrincham Colwyn Bay
50 ELO 44
13.9% Tilt 20.1%
3334º General ELO ranking 3423º
112º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Altrincham
20.3%
Draw
18.8%
Colwyn Bay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
Altrincham
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.8%
Win probability
Colwyn Bay
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Altrincham
+7%
-21%
Colwyn Bay

ELO progression

Altrincham
Colwyn Bay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Altrincham
Altrincham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2014
ALT
Altrincham
1 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
58%
22%
20%
50 48 2 0
01 Feb. 2014
HED
Hednesford Town
1 - 1
Altrincham
ALT
48%
23%
29%
50 50 0 0
21 Jan. 2014
ALT
Altrincham
1 - 2
Worcester City
WOR
72%
17%
11%
50 41 9 0
07 Jan. 2014
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
5 - 4
Altrincham
ALT
27%
24%
50%
51 44 7 -1
04 Jan. 2014
ALT
Altrincham
3 - 2
Leamington
LEA
61%
21%
18%
51 47 4 0

Matches

Colwyn Bay
Colwyn Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2014
SOL
Solihull Moors
2 - 2
Colwyn Bay
COL
45%
25%
30%
45 46 1 0
25 Jan. 2014
GAI
Gainsborough Trinity
0 - 2
Colwyn Bay
COL
48%
24%
28%
44 44 0 +1
18 Jan. 2014
WOR
Worcester City
2 - 1
Colwyn Bay
COL
31%
26%
43%
45 40 5 -1
11 Jan. 2014
COL
Colwyn Bay
1 - 1
Oxford City
OXF
55%
23%
23%
45 42 3 0
01 Jan. 2014
VAU
Vauxhall Motors
0 - 3
Colwyn Bay
COL
38%
25%
37%
44 40 4 +1
X