Altrincham vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
ALT
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
KID
2 - 0
ALT
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ALT
5 - 0
LEA
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
ALT
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ALT
3 - 1
FAR
30%
23%
47%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
ALT
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 3
CHE
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
GUI
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 3
CHE
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 1
CHE
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |