Altos vs Caiçara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
CAI
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 1
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PAR
20%
21%
58%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 1
CAI
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 1
PIA
23%
23%
53%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | +1 |